TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Grinberg and Malena Molina Iriarte in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Grinberg' if Lucia Grinberg advances against Malena Molina Iriarte. This market will resolve to 'Malena Molina Iriarte' if Malena Molina Iriarte advances against Lucia Grinberg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Grinberg and Malena Molina Iriarte in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Grinberg' if Lucia Grinberg advances against Malena Molina Iriarte. This market will resolve to 'Malena Molina Iriarte' if Malena Molina Iriarte advances against Lucia Grinberg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is entirely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Neuquén match between Lucia Grinberg and Malena Molina Iriarte. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, and ensure a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result, as this will determine the payout for winning shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the W15 Neuquén tournament, could also impact the odds. Major upsets or surprising performances during the match itself would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.