TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 2:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Baier and Sofia Finchelstein in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Baier' if Jazmin Baier advances against Sofia Finchelstein. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Finchelstein' if Sofia Finchelstein advances against Jazmin Baier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Baier and Sofia Finchelstein in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Baier' if Jazmin Baier advances against Sofia Finchelstein. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Finchelstein' if Sofia Finchelstein advances against Jazmin Baier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand among participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where the sportsbook may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants regarding the Jazmin Baier vs Sofia Finchelstein match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jazmin Baier vs Sofia Finchelstein match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market shifts.