TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
W15 Neuquén: Agustina Tarantola vs Jazmin Baier
- Polymarket
W15 Neuquén: Agustina Tarantola vs Jazmin Baier - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 2, 2026
Closed: Nov 2, 11:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Jazmin Baier in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Jazmin Baier. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Baier' if Jazmin Baier advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Agustina Tarantola and Jazmin Baier in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Tarantola' if Agustina Tarantola advances against Jazmin Baier. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Baier' if Jazmin Baier advances against Agustina Tarantola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price differences between the two venues. However, it’s important to note that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tarantola vs Baier match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by actual trading activity. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, could also cause price fluctuations in this market.