TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Eva Gatti and Yui Watanabe in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Eva Gatti' if Sofia Eva Gatti advances against Yui Watanabe. This market will resolve to 'Yui Watanabe' if Yui Watanabe advances against Sofia Eva Gatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Eva Gatti and Yui Watanabe in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Eva Gatti' if Sofia Eva Gatti advances against Yui Watanabe. This market will resolve to 'Yui Watanabe' if Yui Watanabe advances against Sofia Eva Gatti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Sofia Eva Gatti and Yui Watanabe. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available scores and tournament results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions in Monastir on the day of the match could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum and influence trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.