TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pauline Gloeckner and Charlotte Arlt in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Charlotte Arlt. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Arlt' if Charlotte Arlt advances against Pauline Gloeckner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pauline Gloeckner and Charlotte Arlt in the W15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Charlotte Arlt. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Arlt' if Charlotte Arlt advances against Pauline Gloeckner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning player will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.