TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Nahjime Dho in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Nahjime Dho. This market will resolve to 'Nahjime Dho' if Nahjime Dho advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Nahjime Dho in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Nahjime Dho. This market will resolve to 'Nahjime Dho' if Nahjime Dho advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Vogt vs Dho match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Vogt vs Dho match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify this information and finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in overall market opinion regarding the Vogt vs Dho match.