TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leire De Ezcurra and Mariia Lazarenko in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leire De Ezcurra' if Leire De Ezcurra advances against Mariia Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Lazarenko' if Mariia Lazarenko advances against Leire De Ezcurra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leire De Ezcurra and Mariia Lazarenko in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leire De Ezcurra' if Leire De Ezcurra advances against Mariia Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Lazarenko' if Mariia Lazarenko advances against Leire De Ezcurra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of market sentiment. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Leire De Ezcurra and Mariia Lazarenko. The player who wins the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from tennis experts could impact trader behavior. Major upsets in other related tournaments could also indirectly influence this market, as traders reassess player capabilities and momentum.