TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cindy Langlais and Pauline Gloeckner in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cindy Langlais' if Cindy Langlais advances against Pauline Gloeckner. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Cindy Langlais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cindy Langlais and Pauline Gloeckner in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cindy Langlais' if Cindy Langlais advances against Pauline Gloeckner. This market will resolve to 'Pauline Gloeckner' if Pauline Gloeckner advances against Cindy Langlais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time, especially when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the market collectively determines the odds based on available information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Monastir tennis match between Cindy Langlais and Pauline Gloeckner, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be paid out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injury updates for either Cindy Langlais or Pauline Gloeckner, or changes in playing conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could cause noticeable price movements, as could broader shifts in sentiment regarding the overall tournament or women's tennis. Monitoring tennis news and social media could provide insights into potential catalysts.