TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chenting Zhu and Kayo Nishimura in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chenting Zhu' if Chenting Zhu advances against Kayo Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Chenting Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chenting Zhu and Kayo Nishimura in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chenting Zhu' if Chenting Zhu advances against Kayo Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Chenting Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by real money at risk, can provide a different perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies where the crowd believes the sportsbook’s assessment is inaccurate. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information or changing sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Chenting Zhu and Kayo Nishimura, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can drive trading volume and alter the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Monastir tennis match.