TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ada Gergec and Nahjime Dho in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ada Gergec' if Ada Gergec advances against Nahjime Dho. This market will resolve to 'Nahjime Dho' if Nahjime Dho advances against Ada Gergec. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ada Gergec and Nahjime Dho in the W15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ada Gergec' if Ada Gergec advances against Nahjime Dho. This market will resolve to 'Nahjime Dho' if Nahjime Dho advances against Ada Gergec. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines, such as potential player injuries or changes in playing conditions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Ada Gergec and Nahjime Dho, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Monastir could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Even significant changes in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussions or expert analysis, could affect trading activity and move the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.