TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Gabriela Guapindaia Soares in the W15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sabrina Dias' if Sabrina Dias advances against Gabriela Guapindaia Soares. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Guapindaia Soares' if Gabriela Guapindaia Soares advances against Sabrina Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Gabriela Guapindaia Soares in the W15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sabrina Dias' if Sabrina Dias advances against Gabriela Guapindaia Soares. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Guapindaia Soares' if Gabriela Guapindaia Soares advances against Sabrina Dias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning the Maceio tennis match. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maceio tennis match between Sabrina Dias and Gabriela Guapindaia Soares. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential protests or disputes will be resolved according to the official tournament rules and regulations, as reported by reliable sports news sources.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even social media discussions about player form, could also play a role. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 19, 2026.