TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe and Marjorie Souza in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe' if Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe advances against Marjorie Souza. This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe and Marjorie Souza in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe' if Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe advances against Marjorie Souza. This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market is currently indicating a strong likelihood of one player winning, as reflected in the current share prices. The volume traded provides insight into the confidence level behind these predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maceio tennis match between Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe and Marjorie Souza. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide insights into potential catalysts that might move this market before the Oct 22, 2026 resolution.