TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Josefina Estevez and Maria Fernanda Lopes in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josefina Estevez' if Josefina Estevez advances against Maria Fernanda Lopes. This market will resolve to 'Maria Fernanda Lopes' if Maria Fernanda Lopes advances against Josefina Estevez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Josefina Estevez and Maria Fernanda Lopes in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josefina Estevez' if Josefina Estevez advances against Maria Fernanda Lopes. This market will resolve to 'Maria Fernanda Lopes' if Maria Fernanda Lopes advances against Josefina Estevez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment of probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s potential results. The current price indicates what the market believes is the probability of a particular result in the Estevez vs Lopes match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Estevez vs Lopes match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.