TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Josefina Estevez and Lara Moreira Kanadani in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josefina Estevez' if Josefina Estevez advances against Lara Moreira Kanadani. This market will resolve to 'Lara Moreira Kanadani' if Lara Moreira Kanadani advances against Josefina Estevez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Josefina Estevez and Lara Moreira Kanadani in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josefina Estevez' if Josefina Estevez advances against Lara Moreira Kanadani. This market will resolve to 'Lara Moreira Kanadani' if Lara Moreira Kanadani advances against Josefina Estevez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for a particular result in the Maceio tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maceio tennis match between Josefina Estevez and Lara Moreira Kanadani. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price movements, especially if they represent a strong conviction from a significant trader. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on the platform will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.