TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bianca Bernardes and Rebeca Pereira in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bianca Bernardes' if Bianca Bernardes advances against Rebeca Pereira. This market will resolve to 'Rebeca Pereira' if Rebeca Pereira advances against Bianca Bernardes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bianca Bernardes and Rebeca Pereira in the W15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bianca Bernardes' if Bianca Bernardes advances against Rebeca Pereira. This market will resolve to 'Rebeca Pereira' if Rebeca Pereira advances against Bianca Bernardes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals willing to bet on their assessment of the likely outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the probabilities of each player winning the match, or differing levels of information incorporated into each price. It’s important to consider both when forming your own view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Bianca Bernardes will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa for Rebeca Pereira. This creates a dynamic pricing system that continuously updates as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maceio match between Bianca Bernardes and Rebeca Pereira, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to Rebeca Pereira would likely increase the price of shares backing Bianca Bernardes. Additionally, updates on head-to-head records or recent match performances could also impact trading activity. Monitoring tennis news sources and analyzing player statistics are key signals to watch that could cause movement in this market.