TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Antonella Azambuja Werner and Vitoria Zuccon in the W15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonella Azambuja Werner' if Antonella Azambuja Werner advances against Vitoria Zuccon. This market will resolve to 'Vitoria Zuccon' if Vitoria Zuccon advances against Antonella Azambuja Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Antonella Azambuja Werner and Vitoria Zuccon in the W15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonella Azambuja Werner' if Antonella Azambuja Werner advances against Vitoria Zuccon. This market will resolve to 'Vitoria Zuccon' if Vitoria Zuccon advances against Antonella Azambuja Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Antonella Azambuja Werner will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Antonella Azambuja Werner and Vitoria Zuccon as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, weather forecasts for Maceio could play a role, as rain delays or changes in court surface can impact player performance. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.