TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ziqian Zhu and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ziqian Zhu' if Ziqian Zhu advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Ziqian Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ziqian Zhu and Kanna Soeda in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ziqian Zhu' if Ziqian Zhu advances against Kanna Soeda. This market will resolve to 'Kanna Soeda' if Kanna Soeda advances against Ziqian Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing analytical approaches, or simply the influence of market sentiment. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, causing prices to adjust rapidly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Ziqian Zhu and Kanna Soeda. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the official winner of the match, as determined by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public opinion could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the event approaches.