TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zi Ye Zhang and Yuna Sugiyama in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ye Zhang' if Zi Ye Zhang advances against Yuna Sugiyama. This market will resolve to 'Yuna Sugiyama' if Yuna Sugiyama advances against Zi Ye Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zi Ye Zhang and Yuna Sugiyama in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zi Ye Zhang' if Zi Ye Zhang advances against Yuna Sugiyama. This market will resolve to 'Yuna Sugiyama' if Yuna Sugiyama advances against Zi Ye Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of traders participating on Polymarket, and is influenced by any new information or analysis related to the Zhang vs Sugiyama match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhang vs Sugiyama match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The market will determine which player is declared the winner of the match. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also influence the odds. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis, if widely disseminated, can contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches, or even broader trends in player performance, could also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to Nov 8, 2026.