TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu Shan and aoyi li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu Shan' if Yu Shan advances against aoyi li. This market will resolve to 'aoyi li' if aoyi li advances against Yu Shan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yu Shan and aoyi li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yu Shan' if Yu Shan advances against aoyi li. This market will resolve to 'aoyi li' if aoyi li advances against Yu Shan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket, and reflects their collective assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Yu Shan vs aoyi li match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Yu Shan vs aoyi li match, as reported by a widely recognized and impartial source. The platform will rely on publicly available information to verify the final result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor external sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a venue change or a key player being ruled out, would likely cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price, as traders react to the changing dynamics of the market.