TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Alisa Piliptsevich in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Alisa Piliptsevich. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Piliptsevich' if Alisa Piliptsevich advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Xue and Alisa Piliptsevich in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Alisa Piliptsevich. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Piliptsevich' if Alisa Piliptsevich advances against Ying Xue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome it represents; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Ying Xue vs Alisa Piliptsevich match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Ying Xue and Alisa Piliptsevich. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets or surprising performances in related tournaments could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.