TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Egyptia Green in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Egyptia Green. This market will resolve to 'Egyptia Green' if Egyptia Green advances against Xiaochuan Nie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Egyptia Green in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Egyptia Green. This market will resolve to 'Egyptia Green' if Egyptia Green advances against Xiaochuan Nie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maanshan tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is visible on the dashboard, providing insight into the collective prediction of the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xiaochuan Nie versus Egyptia Green match in Maanshan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly displayed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Maanshan tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from well-known or respected tennis analysts could also impact the market. Furthermore, updates on player form or strategic adjustments announced by either player’s camp could lead to price fluctuations as traders reassess the probabilities of each outcome. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.