TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiao Tang and Jiaqi Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiao Tang' if Xiao Tang advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Xiao Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiao Tang and Jiaqi Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiao Tang' if Xiao Tang advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Xiao Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each player winning, as determined by supply and demand. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances of winning the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Xiao Tang and Jiaqi Wang. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome, based on the final odds at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, large bets placed by informed traders could also cause significant price movements. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates on both players will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.