TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wanbing Wang and Francesca Franchi in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wanbing Wang' if Wanbing Wang advances against Francesca Franchi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Franchi' if Francesca Franchi advances against Wanbing Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wanbing Wang and Francesca Franchi in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wanbing Wang' if Wanbing Wang advances against Francesca Franchi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Franchi' if Francesca Franchi advances against Wanbing Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. However, this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including news, injuries, and even subtle factors that sportsbooks might overlook. Therefore, discrepancies can arise, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to assess potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wanbing Wang vs. Franchi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated intelligence of the crowd, offering a unique perspective on the likely result of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wanbing Wang vs. Francesca Franchi match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome of this match.
Several signals or events could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the players’ form or performance could also trigger significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, causing a rapid adjustment in the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.