TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Yuhan Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Yuhan Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Yuhan Wang. This market will resolve to 'Yuhan Wang' if Yuhan Wang advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the players' chances or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is visible directly on the market page, based on the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Yuhan Wang, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also play a role. A significant shift in betting volume on Polymarket could also indicate new information is being factored into the market’s assessment of the likely winner.