TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Soo Ha Jang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Soo Ha Jang. This market will resolve to 'Soo Ha Jang' if Soo Ha Jang advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Soo Ha Jang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Soo Ha Jang. This market will resolve to 'Soo Ha Jang' if Soo Ha Jang advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing risk assessments, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Panshina vs Jang match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the match result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to stay informed about the resolution process. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the tournament.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, fueled by media coverage or social media discussions, could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market and making informed trading decisions.