TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Liuyan An in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Liuyan An. This market will resolve to 'Liuyan An' if Liuyan An advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Liuyan An in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Liuyan An. This market will resolve to 'Liuyan An' if Liuyan An advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If significant differences emerge, it might suggest the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that traders have access to information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the collective expectation of who will win the Maanshan tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Liuyan An.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Liuyan An, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement of this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact the odds. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments or their head-to-head record could lead to adjustments in the market price. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts may also contribute to shifts in trading behavior leading up to Oct 14, 2026.