TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Daria Egorova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Daria Egorova. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Varvara Panshina and Daria Egorova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varvara Panshina' if Varvara Panshina advances against Daria Egorova. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Varvara Panshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a stronger understanding of the players involved. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the Panshina vs Egorova match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Panshina vs Egorova match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media discussions, might also cause the market to react and adjust its probabilities before Oct 17, 2026.