TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sydney-Nicole Clarke and chengwei Han in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sydney-Nicole Clarke' if Sydney-Nicole Clarke advances against chengwei Han. This market will resolve to 'chengwei Han' if chengwei Han advances against Sydney-Nicole Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sydney-Nicole Clarke and chengwei Han in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sydney-Nicole Clarke' if Sydney-Nicole Clarke advances against chengwei Han. This market will resolve to 'chengwei Han' if chengwei Han advances against Sydney-Nicole Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those observed at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Sydney-Nicole Clarke and chengwei Han. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either Sydney-Nicole Clarke or chengwei Han in other tournaments could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the Maanshan venue, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price movements within this market.