TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Satima Toregen and Wei Zheng in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Satima Toregen' if Satima Toregen advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Satima Toregen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Satima Toregen and Wei Zheng in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Satima Toregen' if Satima Toregen advances against Wei Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Wei Zheng' if Wei Zheng advances against Satima Toregen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but volume in this market is more evenly distributed, it suggests disagreement between the two. It’s important to compare these odds to see if there’s an opportunity to capitalize on discrepancies in perceived probabilities, but remember that both represent forecasts, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the participants. The higher the demand for shares in a particular player, the higher the price, and therefore the higher the implied probability of that player winning the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Satima Toregen and Wei Zheng, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpectedly strong performances in earlier rounds by either player, or reports of strategic adjustments, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially causing the odds to shift dramatically as the Oct 12, 2026 approaches.