TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and YiHan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against YiHan Li. This market will resolve to 'YiHan Li' if YiHan Li advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Qianyu Dong will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for YiHan Li. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Maanshan tennis match between Qianyu Dong and YiHan Li will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official result, ensuring accuracy and transparency in the resolution process. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports for Qianyu Dong or YiHan Li, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the Maanshan tournament, potentially favoring one player’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament, affecting player morale or confidence, might also contribute to movement in this market.