TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Phitchayaphak Srimuk in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Phitchayaphak Srimuk. This market will resolve to 'Phitchayaphak Srimuk' if Phitchayaphak Srimuk advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Phitchayaphak Srimuk in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qianyu Dong' if Qianyu Dong advances against Phitchayaphak Srimuk. This market will resolve to 'Phitchayaphak Srimuk' if Phitchayaphak Srimuk advances against Qianyu Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing in the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Maanshan tennis match. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Qianyu Dong and Phitchayaphak Srimuk. The platform will verify the result against sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets to determine the winning player. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the odds to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 12, 2026.