TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Meiqi Guo and Sarah Ye in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Sarah Ye. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Ye' if Sarah Ye advances against Meiqi Guo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Meiqi Guo and Sarah Ye in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Sarah Ye. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Ye' if Sarah Ye advances against Meiqi Guo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price fluctuations are driven by new information and changing sentiment regarding the Maanshan Meiqi Guo vs Sarah Ye match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan Meiqi Guo vs Sarah Ye match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Meiqi Guo or Sarah Ye could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on Polymarket itself, driven by informed traders or large bets, can cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market.