TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marianna Shikhanova and Jiarui Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Shikhanova' if Marianna Shikhanova advances against Jiarui Sun. This market will resolve to 'Jiarui Sun' if Jiarui Sun advances against Marianna Shikhanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marianna Shikhanova and Jiarui Sun in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marianna Shikhanova' if Marianna Shikhanova advances against Jiarui Sun. This market will resolve to 'Jiarui Sun' if Jiarui Sun advances against Marianna Shikhanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Marianna Shikhanova and Jiarui Sun. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records to determine the winning player. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Maanshan tennis match has the potential to move this market.