TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kunwei Wang and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kunwei Wang' if Kunwei Wang advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Kunwei Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kunwei Wang and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kunwei Wang' if Kunwei Wang advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Kunwei Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers, allowing the crowd to express its beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those seen at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan match between Kunwei Wang and Jiumeng Liu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in the perceived competitive landscape, could also lead to adjustments in the odds. Finally, large-volume trades by informed participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to new information or strategies.