TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Ying Xue in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Ying Xue. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Ying Xue in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Ying Xue. This market will resolve to 'Ying Xue' if Ying Xue advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more probable than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the event. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ke Ren vs. Ying Xue tennis match in Maanshan. Once the official result is available, Polymarket will determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.