TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 5:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Mariya Zharkikh in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Mariya Zharkikh. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Mariya Zharkikh in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Mariya Zharkikh. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Zharkikh' if Mariya Zharkikh advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maanshan tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Ke Ren will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Ke Ren and Mariya Zharkikh, as reported by a reputable tennis authority. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about either Ke Ren or Mariya Zharkikh’s physical condition would likely have a substantial impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the W15 Maanshan tournament could also affect traders’ perceptions and lead to changes in the probabilities associated with this market.