TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ke Ren and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ke Ren' if Ke Ren advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Ke Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading in this market. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out if their predicted outcome occurs. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated, providing a real-time assessment of the potential winner of the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Maanshan tennis match between Ke Ren and Junhan Zhang will be determined based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome satisfies the conditions for payout. The resolution process aims to provide a transparent and accurate assessment of the match's result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about a player's strategy or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from well-informed bettors could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.