TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Xiuyuan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Xiuyuan Li. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Li' if Xiuyuan Li advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Xiuyuan Li in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Xiuyuan Li. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Li' if Xiuyuan Li advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the Maanshan tennis match. The current price indicates what traders believe is the likelihood of a specific player winning.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Maanshan tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Xiuyuan Li. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as reported by these sources, and will then be reflected in the market’s final settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large-volume participants could also drive price changes. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts, if widely circulated, may also impact trading behavior, leading to fluctuations in the probabilities reflected in this market.