TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Noelani Sara Teso in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Noelani Sara Teso. This market will resolve to 'Noelani Sara Teso' if Noelani Sara Teso advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiumeng Liu and Noelani Sara Teso in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Noelani Sara Teso. This market will resolve to 'Noelani Sara Teso' if Noelani Sara Teso advances against Jiumeng Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants in the prediction market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and analysis not readily available to the general public, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the most probable result of the Jiumeng Liu vs Noelani Sara Teso match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiumeng Liu vs Noelani Sara Teso match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the athletes’ preparation or performance could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.