TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiarui Sun and Agata Ulikhina in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiarui Sun' if Jiarui Sun advances against Agata Ulikhina. This market will resolve to 'Agata Ulikhina' if Agata Ulikhina advances against Jiarui Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiarui Sun and Agata Ulikhina in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiarui Sun' if Jiarui Sun advances against Agata Ulikhina. This market will resolve to 'Agata Ulikhina' if Agata Ulikhina advances against Jiarui Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or subjective factors influencing the event. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Jiarui Sun vs Agata Ulikhina match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiarui Sun vs Agata Ulikhina match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. It's important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift traders’ expectations. Significant betting activity from well-known or successful traders might also cause the market to react. Furthermore, updates on the players' form, strategy adjustments, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could all contribute to price movements in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026.