TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialan Cai and Marika Jones in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialan Cai' if Jialan Cai advances against Marika Jones. This market will resolve to 'Marika Jones' if Marika Jones advances against Jialan Cai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialan Cai and Marika Jones in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialan Cai' if Jialan Cai advances against Marika Jones. This market will resolve to 'Marika Jones' if Marika Jones advances against Jialan Cai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Jialan Cai vs Marika Jones match.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jialan Cai vs Marika Jones match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how the market settles.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and cause the market price to move accordingly. Monitoring these factors is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.