TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hao Liang and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hao Liang' if Hao Liang advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Hao Liang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hao Liang and Jiumeng Liu in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hao Liang' if Hao Liang advances against Jiumeng Liu. This market will resolve to 'Jiumeng Liu' if Jiumeng Liu advances against Hao Liang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Hao Liang winning the Maanshan tennis match. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s volume and price movements indicate the level of conviction among traders regarding each player's chances of success, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Hao Liang and Jiumeng Liu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be finalized and settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor court), or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Polymarket by informed traders might signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to price fluctuations as others react to their actions.