TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guyun Yuchi and Xiaotong Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guyun Yuchi' if Guyun Yuchi advances against Xiaotong Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiaotong Wang' if Xiaotong Wang advances against Guyun Yuchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guyun Yuchi and Xiaotong Wang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guyun Yuchi' if Guyun Yuchi advances against Xiaotong Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiaotong Wang' if Xiaotong Wang advances against Guyun Yuchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, meaning it's a direct representation of what traders are willing to pay for exposure to each possible result of the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Maanshan tennis match between Guyun Yuchi and Xiaotong Wang will determine the resolution. The result will be based on official tournament results and any subsequent rulings made by the governing tennis authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially declared and validated, based on the rules of Polymarket.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts about player form, could also impact trading activity. A strong showing by either player in a practice session or pre-match warm-up might also shift the probabilities reflected in this market.