TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fang An Lin and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fang An Lin' if Fang An Lin advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Fang An Lin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fang An Lin and Junhan Zhang in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fang An Lin' if Fang An Lin advances against Junhan Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Junhan Zhang' if Junhan Zhang advances against Fang An Lin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or risk assessment between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is directly determined by supply and demand; if many traders believe Fang An Lin will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers for the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Fang An Lin and Junhan Zhang. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on available evidence and established tennis regulations. The platform will then verify the outcome and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions at the Maanshan venue, or even updates on player form could all shift sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a particular player’s advantage, could also drive price movements. Significant betting activity – a large purchase of shares for one player – could also cause a noticeable shift in the odds as others react to the new information or conviction.