TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Egorova and Yiru Chen in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Yiru Chen. This market will resolve to 'Yiru Chen' if Yiru Chen advances against Daria Egorova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Egorova and Yiru Chen in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Yiru Chen. This market will resolve to 'Yiru Chen' if Yiru Chen advances against Daria Egorova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and changes in price signal shifts in market sentiment regarding the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Daria Egorova and Yiru Chen. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in weather forecasts for Maanshan, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected by this market.