TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Egorova and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Daria Egorova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Egorova and Xiaochuan Nie in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Egorova' if Daria Egorova advances against Xiaochuan Nie. This market will resolve to 'Xiaochuan Nie' if Xiaochuan Nie advances against Daria Egorova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the Maanshan tennis match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Daria Egorova and Xiaochuan Nie. The platform will verify the winner based on the official tournament results published by recognized tennis authorities. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Maanshan tennis match.