TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chuyi Yang and Chenhan Xiang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chuyi Yang' if Chuyi Yang advances against Chenhan Xiang. This market will resolve to 'Chenhan Xiang' if Chenhan Xiang advances against Chuyi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chuyi Yang and Chenhan Xiang in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chuyi Yang' if Chuyi Yang advances against Chenhan Xiang. This market will resolve to 'Chenhan Xiang' if Chenhan Xiang advances against Chuyi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and the platform facilitates this price discovery process through a dynamic order book. This creates a constantly updated assessment of the likely winner of the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Chuyi Yang and Chenhan Xiang. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the match’s winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. It’s important to monitor external sources as the event concludes to understand how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Finally, any updates from tennis analysts or expert predictions could influence how traders assess the probability of each player winning, leading to adjustments in the market price.