TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aseneta Alex and Isabella Mai in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aseneta Alex' if Aseneta Alex advances against Isabella Mai. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Mai' if Isabella Mai advances against Aseneta Alex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aseneta Alex and Isabella Mai in the W15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aseneta Alex' if Aseneta Alex advances against Isabella Mai. This market will resolve to 'Isabella Mai' if Isabella Mai advances against Aseneta Alex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maanshan tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Aseneta Alex and Isabella Mai, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player declared the winner by the official source will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 8, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather forecasts), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Aseneta Alex or Isabella Mai's preparation or strategy could also cause significant price movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.