TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Yang and Darja Suvirdjonkova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Yang' if Anna Yang advances against Darja Suvirdjonkova. This market will resolve to 'Darja Suvirdjonkova' if Darja Suvirdjonkova advances against Anna Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Yang and Darja Suvirdjonkova in the W15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Yang' if Anna Yang advances against Darja Suvirdjonkova. This market will resolve to 'Darja Suvirdjonkova' if Darja Suvirdjonkova advances against Anna Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, a win for either Anna Yang or Darja Suvirdjonkova. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher demand driving up the price and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, and the current price represents the market’s probability assessment of each player winning the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Maanshan tennis match between Anna Yang and Darja Suvirdjonkova. This includes confirmation of the winner according to official tournament records. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the victor by the tournament organizers, and this information will be used to settle the market on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting the court surface), or even updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Anna Yang or Darja Suvirdjonkova’s physical condition or recent performance would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can also create short-term fluctuations in the odds, reflecting changes in market participants’ beliefs.