TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adela Moravcova and Gloria Reusch in the W15 Karlovy Vary, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adela Moravcova' if Adela Moravcova advances against Gloria Reusch. This market will resolve to 'Gloria Reusch' if Gloria Reusch advances against Adela Moravcova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adela Moravcova and Gloria Reusch in the W15 Karlovy Vary, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adela Moravcova' if Adela Moravcova advances against Gloria Reusch. This market will resolve to 'Gloria Reusch' if Gloria Reusch advances against Adela Moravcova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Adela Moravcova will win, the price of shares representing her victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karlovy Vary tennis match between Adela Moravcova and Gloria Reusch, as reported by a reputable sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified result. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information to determine the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor court), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the W15 Karlovy Vary tournament, could also play a role. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities.